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The predictioneer's game : using the logic of brazen self-interest to see and shape the future / by Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce,1946-(CARDINAL)515537;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 235-240) and index.What will it take to put you in this car today? -- Game theory 101 -- Game theory 102 -- Bombs away -- Napkins for peace : defining the question -- Engineering the future -- Fast-forward the present -- How to predict the unpredictable -- Fun with the past -- Dare to be embarrassed! -- The big sweep : the history of worms or bali high, balilow.
Subjects: Game theory.; Economic man.; Self-interest.;

Optimal prediction in linear regression analysis / by Pantula, Janella Faye.(CARDINAL)185975; University of North Carolina (System).Institute of Statistics.(CARDINAL)165205; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Department of Biostatistics.(CARDINAL)167680;
Bibliography: pages 132-136.
Subjects: Estimation theory.; Mathematical statistics.; Regression analysis.;

The nemesis affair : a story of the death of dinosaurs and the ways of science / by Raup, David M.(CARDINAL)182723;
An examination of the theory of Nemesis, the death star which scientists predict will disrupt the orbits of billions of comets in a few million years, becomes an exploration of how science works and belief systems in science.
Subjects: Science; Dinosaurs.;

Optimal prediction in linear regression analysis / by Pantula, Janella Faye.(CARDINAL)185975; Kupper, Lawrence L.(CARDINAL)163084; University of North Carolina (System).Institute of Statistics.(CARDINAL)165205; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Department of Biostatistics.(CARDINAL)167680;
Includes bibliographical references (page 23).
Subjects: Estimation theory.; Regression analysis.;

The big bang / by Fleisher, Paul.(CARDINAL)317666;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 76-77) and index.Finding our place in the universe -- Einstein predicts an expanding universe -- Evidence supporting the big bang theory -- Open, closed, and flat universes -- Questions yet to be answered -- Biographies of scientists -- Timeline.Explains how scientists' observations of the stars led to the development of the big bang theory, a theory of how our universe was formed.
Subjects: Big bang theory; Cosmology;

Asymptotic properties of nonparametric time series prediction / by Truong, Young K.(CARDINAL)194599; Stone, Charles S.; University of North Carolina (System).Institute of Statistics.(CARDINAL)165205; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Department of Biostatistics.(CARDINAL)167680;
Bibliography: pages 22-24.
Subjects: Estimation theory.; Mathematical statistics.; Time-series analysis.;

Theories on the scrap heap : scientists and philosophers on the falsification, rejection, and replacement of theories / by Losee, John.(CARDINAL)331838;
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Subjects: Science; Science; Research.;

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / by Silver, Nate,1978-(CARDINAL)401158;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 459-514) and index.A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.1260L
Subjects: Forecasting.; Forecasting; Forecasting; Bayesian statistical decision theory.; Knowledge, Theory of.;

Nonparametric time series prediction : I. kernal estimators based on local averages / by Truong, Young K.(CARDINAL)194599; University of North Carolina (System).Institute of Statistics.(CARDINAL)165205; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Department of Biostatistics.(CARDINAL)167680;
Bibliography: pages 16-18.
Subjects: Convergence.; Estimation theory.; Time-series analysis.;

2012 : the return of Quetzalcoatl / by Pinchbeck, Daniel.(CARDINAL)541499;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 399-403) and index.Draws on cosmological phenomena of the modern world as well as the author's own research into shamanic and metaphysical belief systems to support the Mayan theory about an unprecedented global shift predicted for the year 2012.
Subjects: Quetzalcoatl (Mesoamerican deity); Consciousness.; Hallucinogenic drugs and religious experience.; Maya calendar.; Maya philosophy.; New Age movement.; Shamanism.;

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