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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-(CARDINAL)352439;
Includes bibliographical references and index.Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.'The Black Swan' is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. Nassim Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Subjects: Uncertainty (Information theory);
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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The black swan [sound recording] : the impact of the highly improbable by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-(CARDINAL)352439; Chandler, David,1950-narrator.(CARDINAL)340748; Chandler, David,1950-(CARDINAL)340748;
Narrated by David Chandler.Not all swans are white, and not all events--no matter what the experts think--are predictable. Taleb shows that black swans, like 9/11, cannot be foreseen and have an immeasurable impact on the world.
Subjects: Audiobooks.; Audiobooks.; Uncertainty (Information theory); Forecasting.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-(CARDINAL)352439;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 331-358) and index.Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.
Subjects: Uncertainty (Information theory); Forecasting.;
Available copies: 27 / Total copies: 35
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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-(CARDINAL)352439;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 400-429) and index.Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
Subjects: Forecasting.; Uncertainty (Information theory);
Available copies: 4 / Total copies: 5
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Does measurement measure up? : how numbers reveal and conceal the truth / by Henshaw, John M.(CARDINAL)687519;
MARCIVE 2/03/11Includes bibliographical references (pages 217-222) and index.Henshaw examines the ways in which measurement makes sense or creates nonsense.
Subjects: Measurement.; Uncertainty (Information theory); Knowledge, Theory of.; Measurement uncertainty (Statistics);
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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Antifragile [sound recording] : things that gain from disorder / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-; Ochman, Joe.nrt;
Read by Joe Ochman.Shares philosophical insights into how adversity and chaos can bring out the best in individuals and communities, drawing on multiple disciplines to consider such topics as the superiority of city states over nation states, the drawbacks of debt, and why modern developments usually fail.
Subjects: Audiobooks.; Complexity (Philosophy); Forecasting.; Uncertainty (Information theory);
Available copies: 0 / Total copies: 1
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Antifragile : things that gain from disorder / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-,author.(CARDINAL)352439;
Includes bibliographical references (pages 481-504) and index.Prologue -- The antifragile: an introduction -- Modernity and the denial of antifragility -- Nonpredictive view of the world -- Optionality, technology, and he intelligence of antifragility -- The nonlinear and the nonlinear -- Via negativa -- The ethics of fragility and antifragility -- Epilogue"The acclaimed author of the influential bestseller The Black Swan, Nicholas Nassim Taleb takes a next big step with a deceptively simple concept: the "antifragile." Like the Greek hydra that grows two heads for each one it loses, people, systems, and institutions that are antifragile not only withstand shocks, they benefit from them. In a modern world dominated by chaos and uncertainty, Antifragile is a revolutionary vision from one of the most subversive and important thinkers of our time." -- Provided by publisher
Subjects: Complexity (Philosophy); Forecasting.; Uncertainty (Information theory);
Available copies: 14 / Total copies: 18
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Skin in the game : hidden asymmetries in daily life / by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,1960-author.(CARDINAL)352439;
Includes bibliographical references and index.The phrase "skin in the game" is one we have often heard but have rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it's also an astonishingly complex worldview that, as Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows in this book, applies to literally all aspects of our lives. In his inimitable style, Taleb pulls on everything from Antaeus the Giant to Hammurabi to Donald Trump to Seneca to the ethics of disagreement to create a jaw-dropping tapestry for understanding our world in a brand new way.Introduction -- A first look at agency -- That greatest asymmetry -- Wolves among dogs -- Being alive means taking certain risks -- Deeper into agency -- Religion, belief, and skin in the game -- Risk and rationality -- Epilogue: What Lindy told me.
Subjects: Risk; Risk-taking (Psychology); Information asymmetry; Uncertainty (Information theory); Complexity (Philosophy); Risk behaviors.;
Available copies: 18 / Total copies: 21
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Seeing science : an illustrated guide to the wonders of the universe / by Gottlieb, Iris,author.(CARDINAL)803119;
Part 1: Life science -- Part 2: Earth science -- Part 3: Physical science.Science is real - and really beautiful. Artist and lay scientist Iris Gottlieb deftly explores the strange-but-true world of science, giving a curated ride through the great mysteries of the universe. With clever visual metaphors and concise factual explanations, she explains neap tides, naked mole rats, whale falls, the human heart, the Uncertainty Principle, string theory, and how glaciers are like Snickers bars. Seeing Science offers just the right amount of information to stoke the curious mind with a desire to know more about the life forces that animate both the smallest cell and the biggest black hole.
Subjects: Adaptation (Biology); Life (Biology);
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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Statistics and probability / by Faulkner, Nicholas,editor.(CARDINAL)410208; Gregersen, Erik,editor.(CARDINAL)497046;
Includes bibliographical references and index.History of statistics and probability -- Statistics -- Probability theory -- Combinatorics -- Game theory -- Biographies -- Special topics.Adhering to state and national math standards, this informative volume introduces readers to a world they may know little about: statistics and probability. In an effort to better forecast the future for gains and combat the potential losses of uncertainty, numerous areas have come to rely on the power of these disciplines. This book introduces the historical and mathematical basis of statistics and probability, as well as their application to everyday situations. Readers will also meet the prominent thinkers who advanced the field for those who followed.
Subjects: Mathematical statistics; Probabilities;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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