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Cycles: the mysterious forces that trigger events / by Dewey, Edward R.(CARDINAL)219955; Mandino, Og.(CARDINAL)721846;
Subjects: Business cycles.; Cycles.; Forecasting.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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Direct measurement of cyclical-trend / by Cowden, Dudley J.,1899-1987.(CARDINAL)124745; University of North Carolina (1793-1962).School of Business Administration.(CARDINAL)315853;
Subjects: Business forecasting.; Business cycles.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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Business cycles : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting / by Zarnowitz, Victor,1919-2009.(CARDINAL)187763;
Includes bibliographical references and index.I. Theories and Evidence -- 1. Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview -- 2. Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective -- 3. Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations -- 4. Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements -- 5. Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau -- II. History and Measurement -- 6. How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction -- 7. Business Cycles and Growth -- 8. The Regularity of Business Cycles -- 9. Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy -- III. Indicators -- 10. Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses -- 11. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators -- 12. Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes / Phillip Braun -- IV. Forecasting -- 13. On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions -- 14. An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts -- 15. The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts -- 16. Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts -- 17. Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction / Louis A. Lambros -- 18. The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting.Victor Zarnowitz has long been a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting. These papers represent a carefully integrated and up-to-date study of business cycles, reexamining some of his earlier research as well as addressing recent developments in the literature and in history. In part one, Zarnowitz reviews with characteristic insight various theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories as well as more recent rational expectations and real business cycle theories. In doing so, he examines how the business cycle may have changed as the size of government, the exercise of fiscal and monetary policies, the openness of the economy to international forces, and the industrial structure have evolved over time. Emphasizing important research from the 1980s, Zarnowitz discusses in part two various measures of the trends and cycles in economic activity, including output, prices, inventories, investment in residential and nonresidential structures, equipment, and other economic variables. Here the author explores the duration and severity of U.S. business cycles over more than 150 years, and evaluates the ability of macro models to simulate past behavior of the economy. In part three the performance of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators is described and assessed and evidence is presented on the value of their composite measures. Finally, part four offers an analysis of the degree of success of large commercial forecasting firms and of many individual economists in predicting the course of inflation, real growth, unemployment, interest rates, and other key economic variables. Business Cycles is a timely study, certain to become a basic reference for professional forecasters and economists in government, academia, and the business community.
Subjects: Business cycles.; Economic forecasting.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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Weights for fitting polynomial secular trends / by Cowden, Dudley J.,1899-1987.(CARDINAL)124745; University of North Carolina (1793-1962).School of Business Administration.(CARDINAL)315853;
Subjects: Business cycles.; Polynomials.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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Manias, panics, and crashes : a history of financial crises / by Kindleberger, Charles P.,1910-2003.(CARDINAL)131899;
Includes bibliographical references and index.A leading economist-historian chronicles the world's financial crisis, from the early-eighteenth-century South Sea Bubble fiasco to the minipanics of the early 1970s, covering every aspect of speculative manias and panics.
Subjects: Business cycles.; Depressions.;
Available copies: 3 / Total copies: 3
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Business cycles and depressions : an encyclopedia / by Glasner, David.(CARDINAL)175746; Cooley, Thomas F.(CARDINAL)190845;
Includes bibliographical references and indexes.
Subjects: Encyclopedias.; Business cycles; Depressions;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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American business cycles, 1945-50 by Blyth, C. A.(Conrad Alexander),1928-(CARDINAL)122791;
Bibliography: pages 289-295.
Subjects: Business cycles;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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Understanding recessions / by Sebree, Chet'la,author.(CARDINAL)814303;
Includes bibliographical references and index.Introduction: the business cycle -- Defining recessions -- Reasons for recessions -- Organizations and indicators -- Twenty-first century recessions -- Preparation and recovery.
Subjects: Young adult literature.; Recessions.; Business cycles.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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American exports during business cycles, 1879-1958. by Mintz, Ilse,1904-(CARDINAL)218968;
Subjects: Business cycles.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 1
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Polynomial moving-average weights for smoothing irregular fluctuations / by Cowden, Dudley J.,1899-1987.(CARDINAL)124745; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.School of Business Administration.(CARDINAL)160572;
Subjects: Business cycles.; Cycles.; Time-series analysis.; Polynomials.;
Available copies: 1 / Total copies: 2
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Results 1 to 10 of 371 |